Press Release #1: Inter-model baseline comparison and harmonization
Future impacts of public policies such as agricultural, trade and climate on land use, agricultural markets and environmental indicators are frequently analysed with economic simulation models. These models use different quantitative methods, data sets and economic assumptions. Thus, even if applied to a similar research question, they may not generate identical output. In the study conducted within the SUPREMA project, the team of researchers describes and analyses variations among the simulation outcomes of five economic models. They conclude that most of the differences are caused by the essential model characteristics, and that the models harmonization beyond the external variables should be performed cautiously.
For further details see: Press Release_SUPREMA_#1.pdf (PDF, 153 KB)
Press Release #2: The transition towards more sustainable diets in the EU
A higher intake of plant-based proteins could be beneficial for public health, but could also have positive effects on the environment and the sustainability of the food system as a whole. This is concluded from an EU-funded project on agricultural modelling in the EU, SUPREMA. Having a better understanding of all these effects is key since the current EU livestock consumption and production are outside the boundaries that could be considered as sustainable. These insights are important in the context of the current agricultural policy framework that aims at transitioning to-wards a food system with neutral or positive environmental impacts while ensuring food security, nutrition and public health.
For further details see: Press Release_SUPREMA_#2.pdf (PDF, 247 KB)
Press Release #3: Climate change mitigation analysis - The effectiveness of ambitious EU agricultural mitigation efforts in a global context
“Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C” as set out in the Paris Agreement, is among the key goals of the European Commission. In the EU’s Long Term Strategy for climate change mitigation, the European Commission proposed to target climate neutrality by 2050, which will require substantial efforts across all economic sectors, including the EU’s agricultural sector. In this study that was published as deliverable of the SUPREMA project, we applied three state-of-the-art agricultural sector models developed at the University of Bonn (CAPRI), the International institute for Applied Systems Analysis (GLOBIOM), and Wageningen Economic Research (MAGNET) to assess the impact of ambitious EU wide agricultural mitigation efforts emulated applying a carbon price on agricultural emissions consistent with the 1.5 °C target (245 USD/tCO2eq by 2050).
For further details see: Press Release_#3_SUPREMA.pdf (PDF, 117 KB)